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2024-12-14 00:07:51

2. Share reform market1, the relationship between 519 market and policy change.First, the relationship between the big bull market and the great changes in the capital market


In the "share-trading reform", the major shareholders obtained the circulation right by giving consideration to the minor shareholders, and the market entered the era of full circulation. During the time limit when "non-size" obtained the right of circulation, the market formed a super bull market, which was the end of the era of non-tradable shares and the welcome of the era of full circulation.After the share reform, the stock market has gradually entered the track of "marketization, legalization and internationalization". However, our issuance system has long been an approval system, and the international practice is the registration system. We have promoted the reform of the comprehensive registration system after piloting the GEM and science and technology innovation board. Although there have been some problems criticized by the market, the general direction of this reform must be correct. The comprehensive registration system is an inevitable choice for comprehensive marketization and a fundamental reform of the capital market system.It is believed that with the maturity of our registration system, the risk of buying junk stocks will be very great, the bad habit of speculation will be fundamentally changed, the market will focus on value growth, core index stocks will be an important choice direction of the market, index ETF will become the main channel for ordinary investors to participate in the stock market, indexed investment, bilateral hedging trading channels with developed institutions and quantitative trading institutions in the era of artificial intelligence will make it more difficult for short-term trading retail investors to survive, and the characteristics of institutional de-retailing will develop very rapidly.


The super-large market from 1998 to 6124 is usually called "share reform market", because the stock market before 2005 was the era of split share structure, and the listed part was tradable shares, while the state-owned shares and legal person shares were in the hands of the major shareholders. The share price of the tradable shares changed, and the legal person shares could only be transferred but could not be listed and circulated. The rise and fall of the share price had nothing to do with the major shareholders of legal person shares. The biggest problem in the stock market was that the major shareholders occupied the funds of listed companies, and the limited amount of tradable shares was prevalent.Conclusion: The combination of economic transformation and upgrading with the reform of registration system will lead to a long-term bull market. Under the registration system, the stock market ecology will undergo major changes, the speculation gap will be effectively curbed, indexed investment will become the mainstream of the market, and the institutionalization of ETF-based retail will be accelerated.One of the characteristics of the approval system is the scarcity of listed resources and the long-term lack of metabolism in the market. "Shell resources" is an important reason for the tradition of evil speculation in our market.

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